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San Mateo 2025 August Market Update

Over the past couple years, the AI boom has most dramatically affected the housing markets in Silicon Valley, with their established players like Nvidia. San Francisco, though home to major AI firms like OpenAI and Anthropic, has been affected, but much more modestly – but that is now rapidly changing. The AI industry is exploding in the city, with dozens of new startups making San Francisco their home, and the city has become a powerful magnet for those eager to participate in perhaps the biggest technological/economic revolution of our times. Just as in the dotcom and recent high-tech booms, they are doing so due to the network effect, i.e. the tremendously dynamic synergies of being within a half mile - or even a hundred yards - of each other. That is a huge plus for the best and the brightest flocking to AI, for companies growing fast, and for the intense cross-fertilization of ideas characterizing the industry. This has shifted the SF housing market into one of the strongest in the Bay Area, diverging from the cooling trends seen in most other counties and the country at large. Unlike most other markets, the supply of listings is dropping, price reductions are declining, and home prices are starting to climb year-over-year. And these are very early days for the AI boom in the city: If trends continue on course, hiring accelerates, startups grow, and privately held companies eventually move toward IPOs, the explosion of new wealth will likely be astounding.